Sitemap - 2023 - Unexpected Points
Week 17 Saturday Night Football Cowboys-Lions: Advanced Review
Week 17 TNF Browns-Jets: Advanced Review
NFL Week 17 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 17 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 16 Christmas Day: Advanced Reviews
Week 16 SNF Broncos-Patriots: Advanced Review
Week 16 Sunday, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 16 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 16 Saturday Advanced Reviews
Week 16 TNF Rams-Saints: Advanced Review
NFL Week 16 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 16 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 15 MNF Seahawks-Eagles: Advanced Review
Week 15 SNF Jaguars-Ravens: Advanced Review
Week 15 Sunday, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 15 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 15 Saturday: Advanced Reviews
Week 15 TNF, Raiders-Chargers: Advanced Review
NFL Week 15 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 15 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 14 MNF, Giants-Packers & Dolphins-Titans: Advanced Reviews
Week 14 SNF, Cowboys-Eagles: Advanced Review
Week 14 Sunday, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 14 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 14 TNF, Steelers-Patriots: Advanced Review
NFL Week 14 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 14 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 13 MNF, Jaguars-Bengals: Advanced Review
Week 13 SNF, Packers-Chiefs: Advanced Review
Week 13 Sunday, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 13 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 13, TNF Cowboys-Seahawks: Advanced Review
Week 13 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 13 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 12, MNF Vikings-Bears: Advanced Review
Week 12, SNF Chargers-Ravens: Advanced Review
Week 12 Sunday, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 12 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 12 Black Friday, Jets-Dolphins: Advanced Review
Week 12, Thanksgiving Day: Advanced Reviews
Week 12 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 12 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 11, MNF Chiefs-Eagles: Advanced Review
Week 11, SNF Broncos-Vikings: Advanced Review
Week 11, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 11, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 11, TNF Ravens-Bengals: Advanced Review
Week 11 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 11 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 10, MNF Bills-Broncos: Advanced Review
Week 10, SNF Raiders-Jets: Advanced Review
Week 10, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 10, Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 10, TNF Bears-Panthers: Advanced Review
Week 10 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 10 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 9, MNF Jets-Chargers: Advanced Review
Week 9, SNF Bengals-Bills: Advanced Review
Week 9, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 9, Frankfurt & Early Window: Advanced Reviews
WEEKLY NEWS, TNF REVIEW, WEEK 9 PREVIEW
Week 9, TNF Steelers-Titans: Advanced Review
Week 9 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 9 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 8, MNF Lions-Raiders: Advanced Review
Week 8, SNF Chargers-Bears: Advanced Review
Week 8 Late Window (plus NYJ-NYG): Advanced Reviews
Week 8 Early Window: Advanced Reviews
TNF REVIEW, ESPN CONTROVERSY, WEEK 8 PREVIEW
Week 8, TNF Bills-Buccaneers: Advanced Review
Week 8 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 8 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 7, MNF Vikings: Advanced Review
Week 7, SNF Eagles-Dolphins: Advanced Review
Week 7 Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 7 Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 7, TNF Saints-Jaguars: Advanced Review
Week 7 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 7 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 6, MNF Chargers-Cowboys: Advanced Review
Week 6, SNF Bills-Giants: Advanced Review
Week 6, Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 6, London & Early Window: Advanced Reviews
TNF REVIEW, WEEKLY COMMENTARY, WEEK 6 PREVIEW
Week 6 TNF Chiefs-Broncos: Advanced Review
Week 6 Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency (AQE)
Week 6 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 5 MNF Raiders-Packers: Advanced Review
Week 5 SNF 49ers-Cowboys: Advanced Review
Week 5 Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 5 London & Early Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 5 TNF Commanders-Bears: Advanced Review
Week 5 Luck-Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency
Week 5 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 4 MNF Giants-Seahawks: Advanced Review
Week 4 SNF Jets-Chiefs: Advanced Review
Week 4 Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 4 Sunday Early Window: Advanced Reviews
TNF REVIEW, RUN PLAY-ACTION DEBATE, WEEK 4 PREVIEW
Week 4 TNF Lions-Packers: Advanced Review
Weekly Commentary & Review #12
Luck-Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency
Week 4 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 3 MNF Eagles-Bucs & Bengals-Rams: Advanced Reviews
Week 3 SNF Raiders-Steelers: Advanced Review
Week 3 Sunday Late Window: Advanced Reviews
Week 3 Sunday Early Window: Advanced Reviews
TNF 49ers-Giants Review, Week 3 Preview, Q&A
Week 3 TNF 49ers-Giants: Advanced Review
Weekly Commentary & Review #11
Week 3 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
Week 2 MNF Panthers-Saints & Steelers-Browns: Advanced Reviews
Week 2 SNF Patriots-Dolphins: Advanced Game Reviews
Week 2 Sunday Late Window: Advanced Game Reviews
Week 2 Sunday, Early Window: Advanced Game Reviews
TNF EAGLES-VIKINGS REVIEW, WEEK 2, Q&A
TNF Eagles-Vikings: Advanced Game Review
Week 2 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
MNF Jets-Bill Review, Replacing Rodgers
How the Jets Should Look to Replace Aaron Rodgers
Week 1 MNF Jets-Bills: Advanced Game Review
Week 1 Sunday, Late Window & SNF: Advanced Game Reviews
Week 1 Sunday (Early Window): Advanced Game Reviews
Weekly Commentary & Review #10
Solo Pod: Kickoff TNF Review, Q&A
Kickoff TNF Chiefs-Lions Advanced Review
Week 1 Bayesian Quarterback Rankings
AFC West: Projections Versus The Market
AFC South: Projections Versus The Market
AFC North: Projections Versus The Market
AFC East: Projections Versus The Market
NFC West: Projections Versus The Market
NFC South: Projections Versus The Market
NFC North: Projections Versus The Market
NFC East: Projections Versus The Market
2023 Week 1 NFL Power Rankings
Preseason Buy/Sell Review: Week 3
Preseason Buy/Sell Review: Week 2
Does the Preseason Matter? Wide Receiver Edition
Does the Preseason Matter? Running Back Edition
Does the Preseason Matter? Quarterback Edition
Jourdan Rodrigue: The Playcallers
Weekly Commentary and Review #2
Weekly Commentary and Review # 1
Thinking Basketball's Ben Taylor
Introducing the QB GOAT Series
Working in basketball & football analytics: Seth Partnow, Statsbomb
Hopkins/Cook Released, Kickoff Rule Change, Subscriber Q&A
PGA-LIV Merger, Early Best-Ball Favs, NBA Finals Talk: Davis Mattek
"Net Gains" author Ryan O'Hanlon, ESPN
OTA News, plus Q&A: Hopkins cut, Rodgers all-in
Offensive Player of the Year Betting Market Review
Greatest CFB QBs of the 2000s, Projecting to the NFL: Bill Connelly, ESPN
NFL Awards Predictions, Subscriber Q&A
Early Offseason MVP Betting Market Review
Ranking NFL Front Offices w/ Ben Baldwin
NFL Schedule Release, Early Offseason Bets, Q&A
Regime Time Horizons and the Principal-Agent Problem
The State of NFL Front Offices, with Josh Hermsmeyer
Post-Draft Offseason Improvement Index
Judging Executives' Draft Evaluations, Lamar Contract, Q&A
Processing the NFL Draft: Hayden Winks, Underdog Fantasy
Post-NFL Draft 2023 Running Back Prospect Model
Post-NFL Draft 2023 Wide Receiver Prospect Model
Instant draft grades are mostly bad, but waiting years for results is even worse
NFL draft second- and third-round analytical review
NFL draft first-round analytical review
Bold NFL draft predictions w/ Pat Kerrane
2023 wide receiver rankings and top analytical comps
Aaron Rodgers Trade Reaction: Mitigated Disaster for the Jets
2023 quarterback rankings and top analytical comps
Finding elite tight end prospects with short-area speed and elusiveness
Wrap-up Pod: Stroud Stumbling, Gambling Suspensions, Lance for sale?
Pre-NFL Draft 2023 Running Back Prospect Model
NFL Draft Skill Position Rankings: Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis
Pre-NFL Draft 2023 Wide Receiver Prospect Model
Research recap, Keeping it analytical goes wrong, Q&A
Building a more useful NFL draft "Big Board"
Evaluating the 2023 NFL draft process: Mike Renner, PFF
Measuring the unquantifiable traits of successful quarterback prospects
The QB Traits Hype-Cycle and Leaning Against the Wind
NFL Offseason Storylines: Mike Sando, The Athletic
NFL Mock Draft Market Update: Benjamin Robinson, Grinding the Mocks
Metrics that matter for wide receiver prospects
NFL teams aren't jumping to sign Lamar Jackson. Are they in the right?
Podcast Appearance: Pat Mayo Experience
AFC Offseason Grades: Free Agency and Trade Value Added
NFC Offseason Grades: Free Agency and Trade Value Added
What analytical draft value curves are missing about NFL roster building
The Consensus NFL Mock Draft: Version 2.0
Offseason strategy & Rodgers negotiations w/ Eric Eager of Sumer Sports
Jets have all the leverage in Aaron Rodgers trade negotiations: Will they use it?
2023 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams
(Premium) Bears Trade No. 1 Pick Reaction Pod
NFL Free Agency: Potential Values and Overpays w/ PFF's Brad Spielberger
Lamar Jackson Non-Exclusive Tag Reaction
Running Back & Offensive Line: Winners & Losers of the NFL Combine
Wide Receiver & Tight End Winners & Losers of the NFL Combine
Winners and Losers of the NFL Combine: Defensive Backs
Winner and Losers of the NFL Combine: Defensive Linemen
Scouting Combine drills that matter for NFL success: Defensive positions
Scouting Combine drills that matter for NFL success: Offensive positions
The NFL Combine, Sloan and other notes
Free Agent Defensive Value: Target Safeties and Linebackers
Free Agency Contracts and Value: Target Interior Offensive Line and Tight Ends
2023 Free Agent Tight End Rankings
Team Building & Offseason Strategy w/ Jason Fitzgerald of OverTheCap.com
2023 Free Agent Running Back Rankings
2023 Free Agent Center Rankings
2023 Free Agent Guard Rankings
2023 Free Agent Offensive Tackle Rankings
2023 Free Agent Wide Receiver Rankings
Defensive Positions to Target in Free Agency and Trades
Offensive Positions to Target in Free Agency and Trades
Podcast Appearance: Bet the Process
Travis Kelce is a Lock for the Hall of Fame, But Rob Gronkowski is Still the GOAT
Super Bowl Decisions, Offseason Moves w/ Ben Baldwin
Advanced Game Review: Chiefs are the Super Bowl Champs
DraftKings Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles, Super Bowl
Subscriber Q&A, NFL Awards, HoF Inductees, Super Bowl Talk
Defensive Most Valuable Player According to NFL Plus-Minus: Chris Jones
NFL Plus/Minus: Tyreek Hill is the Offensive Player of the Year
Ten Commandments of Super Bowl Prop Betting w/ Matt Freedman, BettingPros
(Re)Introducing NFL Plus/Minus, a Superior Player Valuation Metric
Premium: Coaching hires, Brady retires, Lamar contract, Subscriber Q&A
Contract Negotiation Guide for Lamar Jackson
Questions for Friday Weekly Wrap-Up Pod
Predicting the NFL Draft: Benjamin Robinson, Grinding the Mocks
Amazon Prime Vision's Sam Schwartzstein: Super Bowl talk and broadcasting lessons
What to Expect from Unexpected Points this Offseason
Super Bowl Power Rankings: Chiefs Still on Top
The Consensus NFL Mock Draft: Version 1.0
Advanced Game Reviews: Championship Sunday
DraftKings Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals, Conference Championship Sunday Night
DraftKings Showdown: Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers, Championship Sunday
Weekly Wrap-up, Q&A Pod: Reich hire, Herbert truthing, What should the Jets do?
Taking Questions for Weekly Wrap-up Pod
Era of the Analytical Front Office? w/ 538's Josh Hermsmeyer
Projecting Trevor Lawrence, Justin Fields and the 2021 Quarterback Class
The Era of the Analytics General Manager is Here
NFL Power Rankings: The Conference Championships
Divisional Round Sunday: Advanced Reviews
DraftKings Showdown: San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys, Divisional Round Sunday Night
DraftKings Showdown: Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals, Divisional Round Sunday
Divisional Round Saturday: Advanced Reviews
Quantifying Brock Purdy's Success: Player or Scheme?
DraftKings Showdown: Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants, Divisional Round Saturday Night
DraftKings Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Divisional Round Saturday
Divisional Round Preview w/ Football Outsiders
A First-Round Pick for Sean Payton is a Steal
Outlook for Eliminated Playoff Teams w/ Eric Eager, Sumer Sports
NFL Power Rankings: Divisional Round is Set
Wild Card Monday: Advanced Review
Launching Monthly "Office Hours" for Founding Members
DraftKings Showdown: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys, Wild Card Monday Night
Wild Card Sunday: Advanced Reviews
DraftKings Showdown: Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens, Wild Card Sunday
DraftKings Showdown: Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants, Wild Card Sunday
DraftKings Showdown: Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins, Wild Card Sunday
Wild Card Saturday Advanced Reviews
Paid Subscriber Pod: Q&A and Weekly Wrap-Up
DraftKings Showdown: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers, Wild Card Saturday
DraftKings Showdown: San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks, Wild Card Saturday
The Complete Idiot's Guide to Hiring an NFL Head Coach
NFL Power Rankings: Wild Card Round
Podcast Appearances: NFL Rhodes Show and Football Analytics Show
Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: 2022 Final Regular Season Numbers
Week 18 Sunday: Advanced Game Reviews
Yes, the Bears Should Consider Drafting a Quarterback with the No. 1 Pick
DraftKings Showdown: Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers, Sunday Night Football
Week 18 Saturday: Advanced Game Reviews & League News
Premium: Weekly Wrap-Up, Subscriber Q&A: Playoff seeding, Bears drafting a QB, Value of Culture
DraftKings Showdown: Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders
DraftKings Showdown: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars, Saturday Night Football
Adjusted Quarterback Efficiency: Daniel Jones Breakout Can't Be Ignored
Innovations in Betting, Soccer & Football Analytics: Ted Knutson, StatsBomb
The Broncos, Russell Wilson and the Pottery Barn Rule of Quarterbacks