Archive - Unexpected Points

NFL DRAFT PREVIEW, LIVESTREAM Q&A

Firing up the pod to talk draft topics and take questions

19 hrs ago •

1:36:29

The complicated and uncertain value of elite tight end prospects

We can safely assume that Brock Bowers will be drafted too early. But where should teams consider taking an elite tight end prospect in the NFL draft?

Apr 18 •

Consensus 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Version 2.0

Leveraging hundreds of media and analyst mock drafts to project the consensus picks and range of outcomes through the first round of the 2024 NFL draft

Apr 17 •

Targeting the right traits for successful tight end prospects

There's a smaller sample of elite, valuable tight ends in the NFL, but they share traits you can identify in college and combine metrics

Apr 8 •

Stefon Diggs trade and the increasing liquidity of NFL markets

Teams are now treating dead money as sunk costs and leaning into mini cycles of rebuilding

Apr 4 •

NFC Analytical Offseason Grades: Free Agency and Trade Value

Projecting acquired player value for 2024 versus expectations based on contract and trade values

Apr 3 •

AFC Analytical Offseason Grades: Free Agency and Trade Value Added

Projecting acquired player value for 2024 versus expectations based on contract and trade values

Apr 2 •

March 2024

Consensus 2024 NFL Mock Draft: Version 1.0

Quantifying all the shifts in mock draft assumptions following the NFL Combine, the first phase of free agency and some meaningful trades

Mar 22 •

2024 NFL Offseason: Improvement Index for all 32 teams

Projecting point-differential gains and losses based on offseason moves for every NFL team

Mar 13 •

Digesting 2024 NFL Free Agency: Day One

Kirk Cousins shifted franchises, the running-back market was on fire, and Brian Burns gets an elite contract in a new location

Mar 12 •

End of an era for the Buffalo Bills

The Bills accomplished the rare feat of sustaining an elite roster with free agency and trades, but now they need to transition

Mar 8 •

Inverting The Pyramid: The Optimal Offseason Guide to NFL Team-Building

Availability should dictate which positions are targeted when, placing the optimal bets at the right points in the offseason cycle

Mar 6 •

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